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LIGHTNING: Globally estimates range from 6,000 to 24,000 deaths per year

Africa, a Thunder and Lightning Hot Spot, May See Even More Storms
By Shola LawalFeb. 10, 2020

from the New York Times:

Africa is experiencing bigger and more frequent thunderstorms as global temperatures rise, according to researchers at Tel Aviv University.

The continent already has many of the world’s lightning hot spots, with storms that can be extremely destructive and, sometimes, deadly. This month, for example, a conservation group reported that four rare mountain gorillas had been electrocuted by lightning in Mgahinga National Park, Uganda. In a calamitous episode in 2011, a lightning strike on an elementary school in the same country killed 20 children and injured nearly 100.

Mass casualties like that are rare. But meteorologists wondered at the time whether thunderstorms were becoming more common in Africa in the era of climate change.

The answer, according to the new research, published in January in the American Meteorological Society’s Journal of Climate, is yes. An increase in temperatures in Africa over the past seven decades correlates with bigger and more frequent thunderstorms, the researchers found.

If the finding holds up, that could mean more fatalities and more economic damage. “Lightning is the No. 1 killer when we talk about weather in tropical countries,” said Colin Price, professor of Atmospheric Sciences at Tel Aviv University and the study’s lead author.

There is no organized data for lightning casualties that covers all of Africa, but a 2018 study of eight countries put the number of deaths at about 500 per year. Globally, estimates range from 6,000 to 24,000 deaths per year.

Africa faces elevated risk for reasons that go beyond the relatively high frequency of storms on the continent.

Poor urban design and infrastructure, for example, can worsen flooding during heavy storms, according to Alistair Clulow, a professor of agrometeorology at the University of KwaZulu-Natal in Durban, South Africa. That, in turn, can make lightning strikes more deadly because water conducts electricity.

Rural communities also face risks. Farmers and herders work in the open, which makes them more vulnerable during storms. Houses in rural areas often lack plumbing or wiring that can act as grounding against lightning strikes.

Global data on the economic impact of thunderstorms is patchy, but a 2008 assessment by the National Lightning Safety Institute in Louisville, Colo., placed the annual costs in the United States at $5 billion to $6 billion. That includes forest fires and damage to structures from lightning strikes, and flooding from heavy rains.

Dr. Price and his co-author, Maayan Harel, looked at 2013 thunderstorm data from the World Wide Lightning Location Network, determined which climate-related variables had the most influence on storms and then used those variables to build a model that created a simulated history of thunderstorm activity over Africa from 1948 to 2016.

The project took seven years. Their next study will look at thunderstorms in Southeast Asia, another tropical hot spot.

Because of data limitations and differing methodologies, there is no consensus, for now at least, on how climate change will affect thunderstorms, or whether more thunderstorms would necessarily mean more lightning strikes.

A study in Nature Climate Change in 2018, for instance, forecast a decrease in lightning as the world warms. One of the authors of that paper, Declan L. Finney, a meteorologist at the University of Leeds, said it was important to keep an open mind about how predictions could change as scientists refined their methods.

“There’s still a lot of uncertainty, but this work is useful in contributing to that discussion,” Dr. Finney said of the new study.

Researchers agree, though, that simple measures like developing systems to warn people of impending thunderstorms and installing grounding systems in buildings could go a long way in avoiding deaths and injuries. Thunderstorm patterns can’t be changed, Dr. Price said, “but we can give people protection.”

go to original article for links.

RUMBLE #20

The failures of liberal half measures, compromise and "third way" politics has opened the door for right-wing demagogues to take power. It has also re-awakened a militant and energized left to combat both the wackadoodle right and the tepid center. We're seeing this play out in American politics and the 2020 Democratic primary.

Keeanga-Yamahtta Taylor is a scholar, author and activist. Her writing and speaking has incisively and ferociously exposed the failures of capitalism and the necessity of a fierce struggle to overcome it. She joins Michael to discuss how the hell we got here and how we liberate ourselves.

**********

"Five Years Later, Do Black Lives Matter?"
https://jacobinmag.com/2019/09/black-...

"How Real Estate Segregated America"
https://www.dissentmagazine.org/artic...

Read about and order Keeanga's books here:
http://www.keeangataylor.com/books.html

Follow Keeanga on Twitter here:
https://twitter.com/KeeangaYamahtta

RUMBLE #17

Almost 10 years after Obamacare was passed, medical bills are still the leading cause of bankruptcy in the U.S., 30 million Americans are uninsured, and those who have insurance are dealing with the most expensive health care costs in the world. Michael is joined by political satirist and journalist Francesca Fiorentini to discuss healthcare in America and the state of political satire.

RUMBLE # 10 with RALPH NADER

Michael Moore and Ralph Nader have a complicated relationship. So during his trip to D.C. to witness the impeachment of Donald Trump, Michael was surprised when he bumped into Ralph while visiting the office of Flint's representative in Congress. They ended up having their first real conversation in nearly 20 years. Ralph agreed to let Michael record it for this podcast.

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Ralph Nader and Mark Green's new book "Fake President" is here:
https://www.indiebound.org/book/97815...

Read more about the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact here:
https://www.nationalpopularvote.com/

Follow Ralph here:
https://twitter.com/RalphNader

Rumble #11

Every Sample from Beastie Boys' "Paul's Boutique"

Well, not EVERY ONE . . .

"Let Fury Have the Hour" film (2012) Sunday Sermon

if the window does not open, go here:
http://preprod.snagfilms.com/films/title/let_fury_have_the_hour

Rumble #19

Rumble #18

Rumble #16

Rumble #15

RUMBLE #9

Please Let Me Rob You, I'm Woke (feat. Anand Giridharadas)

While the majority of Americans live paycheck-to-paycheck and one emergency away from financial peril, a new study shows that the 500 richest people in the world gained a combined $1.2 trillion in wealth in 2019. In the U.S., the richest 0.1% now control a bigger share of the pie than at any time since the beginning of the Great Depression.

But what happens when the very people hoarding this wealth at the expense of democracy, the environment and an equitable society, re-brand themselves as the people who will fix society's problems? What happens when the arsonists pose as the firefighters?

Anand Giridharadas has been studying these questions and he joins Michael Moore to name names and discuss what to do about it.

Rumble Reads:

Anand's book, "Winners Take All" is here:

https://www.penguinrandomhouse.com/bo...

Follow Anand here:

https://twitter.com/AnandWrites

The Jamie Dimon "60 Minutes" episode that Michael and Anand ridicule is here:

https://www.cbsnews.com/video/jamie-d...

The new survey about the wealthiest people in the world is here :

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...
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Rumble #8

Since the economic crash of 2008, polling has consistently showed that young Americans are embracing socialism more than capitalism. Media outlets like Jacobin and organizations like DSA have emerged and they are mobilizing and informing new generations of political thinkers.

In this episode of "RUMBLE with Michael Moore," Michael is joined by Alex Press, an editor and writer at Jacobin, a labor organizer and a DSA member. She and Michael discuss the movement behind the Bernie Sanders campaign, health care, the Wizard of Oz, suicide, labor and more.

Rumble Reads:

You can read and subscribe to Jacobin Magazine here:

https://www.jacobinmag.com/

You can follow Alex Press here:

https://twitter.com/alexnpress

The laughable New York Times story from 2015 that Michael mentioned is here:

https://www.nytimes.com/2015/05/29/us...

The media and organizing project that Alex mentioned, Labor Notes, is here:

https://www.labornotes.org/
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Rumble #7 from X-mas eve

Join Michael Moore for a RUMBLE Christmas sing-along! The lyrics are below and are slightly altered to match the times we live in.

Merry Christmas!

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1. Rudy, the Red-Nosed Reindeer

Rudy, the red nosed lawyer

Had a very shiny nose

That’s cause of where he put it

Right up in, well, you know.

All of the other Trumpsters

Used to roll their eyes and sneer

As Rudy hung out in Ukraine

Hoping to deliver a smear.

Then one foggy winter’s day

Donald came to say

Rudy with your nose so bright

Won’t you tell more lies tonight

Then all the Trumpsters loved him

And they shouted out with glee —

“Rudy the red-nosed lawyer

You’ll go down in infamy!“

--------------------------------------------

2. Nancy Pelosi Is Coming to Town

Oh, you better watch out

You better not cry

You better not pout

I’m telling you why

Nancy Pelosi is coming to town!

She’s making a list

Checking it twice

Gonna find out who’s working for ICE

Nancy Pelosi is coming to town.

She sees you when you’re sleeping

She knows when you’re awake

She knows what else is in that server —

And she knows you're on the take!

You better watch out

You better not try

To hold a fake trial

I’m telling you why —

Nancy will kick your ass!



3. Silent Night

Silent Night!

Holy Night!

Fox is gone.

Murdoch’s left town.

Tucker and Hannity —

Nobody cares.

Fox and Friends

Are lost in Times Square

Sleep in heavenly peace!

Trump will be joining you soon!
--------------------------------------------
4. White Christmas

I’m dreaming of a White Owner

Just like the owners we’ve known before

Where they fire Colin Kaepernick

For taking a knee

Cause he didn’t like cops shooting black kids in the snow.

I’m dreaming of a White Owner

With every Christmas card I write.

May Colin’s days be merry and bright —

And may all you owners take flight.

--------------------------------------------

5. Jared the No-Man

Jared the No-man

He brought peace to the Middle East!

He brought happiness to all the world

And he never even said a peep!

Jared the No-man

He fixed climate change!

With a wink and a nod and a twitch of his eye

The entire earth was saved!

But then one day his father-in-law called

And told him to stay away -

Ivanka would now run the world!

“Pack your bags, she’s mine today!”

Jared the No-man knew he had no choice that day —

So he waved goodbye,

Saying “don't you cry,

I’ll be fine in East LA.!”

--------------------------------------------

6. Joy to the World

Joy to the world!

The Trump is impeached!

And soon we’ll get Pence too!

What will Mitch McConnell do?!

What will Stephen Miller do?!

Run and hide then go to jail?

Run and hide then go to jail?

Run and hide then go to jail?

Run and hide, run and hide

Then go to jail!

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Rumble #6

"Joker" Director Todd Phillips joins Michael Moore for a wide-ranging conversation about how movies get made, Joker, and the responsibility of artists during times of chaos.

From this episode:

Michael's Facebook post on "Joker"

https://www.facebook.com/mmflint/post...

Todd Phillips' unreleased HBO doc "Frat House"

https://youtu.be/eezwzDKqBbw

Rumble #5

Michael has always enjoyed talking politics with his dentist, so he decided to record an episode right from his dentist's chair. The show includes novocaine, drilling and some Medicare For All talk.

Rumble #4

Michael Moore sits down with acting legend Robert De Niro. The conversation, recorded in De Niro's office in Lower Manhattan, was raw, unfiltered and provocative. De Niro said he's never listened to a podcast and has never appeared on one, until now.

Rumble #3

Ep. 3: Last Train Out of DC... Reflections From The Front Row of An Impeachment, As Recorded on the Late Night Amtrak

Recorded late last night on the last train out of Washington D.C., Michael Moore reflects on his impromptu trip to the Capitol and his front row seat in the U.S. House to witness the impeachment of Donald J. Trump.

Rumble #2

On the eve of Donald Trump's impeachment by the U.S House of Representatives, Michael is joined by a man who's bravery in exposing the lies about the Vietnam War led to him being personally targeted by President Nixon...leading directly to Nixon's impeachment and resignation.

Daniel Ellsberg, the Pentagon Papers whistleblower, who Nixon National Security Advisor Henry Kissinger called "the most dangerous man in America," reflects on Nixon's resignation and why Trump must go.
From this episode:

The film Michael called "my favorite documentary of all-time"
Hearts and Minds
https://youtu.be/v0DTs6edZjs

The scene we aired:
"We Are The Wrong Side"
https://youtu.be/STySb33rkUo
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Subscribe to Michael Moore’s podcast on:

Apple
apple.co/rumble

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https://open.spotify.com/show/5KubucW...

Google:
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Stitcher:
https://www.stitcher.com/podcast/mich...

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https://anchor.fm/rumble-with-michael...

Follow Michael on:

Twitter:
https://twitter.com/MMFlint

Facebook:
https://www.facebook.com/mmflint/

Instagram:
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